Another Breakaway Wins Stage.

Can anyone figure out why the breakaways are being so successful this year? With the power of Team Astana it would not have been surprising to see just the opposite results, but then again it just may be because of that power that it is.
Can it be that all the teams with GC contenders are being overly cautious of Team Astana, or are they all now going to wait for the two mountain top finishes in the Alps(Stages 15 and 20) to break Nocentini? I believe the latter. Nocentini has proven he can stay with the climbers and will probably hold on to the yellow jersey til stage 15.
One more question: Is there anybody in the cycling community that would believe that Bradley Wiggins would be in among the leaders after three mountain stages. Not me. He can sprint, he can time trial and now he can climb. Still don't think he'll finish in top 20.

Prediction for stage 10: Well it's now back to the flat and rolling stages so my obvious choice is Cavendish, but now there is a battle for the green jersey and Thor is hungry. Both though, better watch out, there are some new kids on the block that can spoil the show. Cavendish will still win the green and that may not be decided til Paris, but I'm going with Tyler Farrar in stage 10. Team Garmin - Slipstream is in need of a stage win and have been doing pretty good at giving Tyler than chance.

Stage 9 Results:
1. Pierrick Fedrigo, (FRA), Bouygues Telecom, 04:05:31
2. Franco Pellizotti, (ITA), Liquigas, same time
3. Oscar Freire, (ESP), Rabobank, +00:34
4. Sergey Ivanov, (RUS), Katusha
5. Peter Velits, (SLO), Milram
6. Jose Rojas, (ESP), Caisee d'Epargne
7. Greg van Avermaez, (BEL), Silence-Lotto
8. Geoffroy Lequatre, (FRA), Agritubel
9. Alessandro Ballan, (ITA), Lampre
10. Nicolas Roche, (IRE), AG2R all same time

Overall standings:
1. Rinaldo Nocentini, (ITA), AG2R, 34:24:21
2. Alberto Contador, (ESP), Astana, +:06 sec
3. Lance Armstrong,(USA) , Astana, +:08
4. Levi Leipheimer, (USA), Astana, +:39
5. Bradley Wiggins, (GBR), Garmin-Slipstream, +:46
6. Andreas Kloeden, (GER), Astana, +:54
7. Tony Martin, (GER), Team Columbia, +:01:00
8. Christian Vande Velde, (USA), Garmin-Slipstream, +:01:24
9. Andy Schleck, (LUX), Saxo Bank, +:01:49
10. Vincenzo Nibali, (ITA), Liquigas, +:01:54